DFW Foreign Carrier Estimated December 2016 Loads

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DFW Foreign Carrier Estimated December 2016 Loads

Postby Greg on Thu Feb 02, 2017 2:43 pm

Here are the estimated load factors for the foreign carriers at DFW for December 2016. Numbers across the board look fairly good, especially for a winter month in the "shoulder season."

How did we arrive at the data?
I took publicly available seat counts and other published data showing available data and came up with these estimates. I do not guarantee 100% accuracy, but I think we are fairly close to the true numbers. OAG, Various “Source” websites, airline sites etc.

Assumptions:
AeroMexico – 62 flights with 99 seats
Air Canada - 104 flights with 73 seats
Avianca - 24 flights with 96 seats
British Airways - 22 flights with 275 seats, eight flights with 337 seats
Emirates - 31 flights with 354 seats
Etihad - 13 flights with 239 seats
Interjet - 58 flights with 93 seats
Japan Airlines - 31 flights with 161 seats
Korean - 18 flights with 291 seats
Lufthansa - 26 flights with 216 seats
Qantas - 29 flights with 484 seats inbound and 355 seats outbound (lower outbound estimate for blocked seats)
Qatar - 29 flights with 358 seats, one flight with 335 seats, one flight with 259 seats
Volaris – 20 flights with 179 seats, one flight with 174 seats

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Re: DFW Foreign Carrier Estimated December 2016 Loads

Postby MayerFM on Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:23 pm

Thanks as usual for this data Greg.

I worked a little bit with your figures and reviewed the ones reported by the Mexican Aviation Authority (DGAC) as well, thus estimating American Airlines' load factors in the Mexico City - Dallas route:

38,879 total passengers transported in 306 flights made in the DFW-MEX-DFW route, averaging 127 passengers per flight and a load factor of approximately 85.2%.

In terms of market share in the very same DFW-MEX-DFW route:

AAL..... 67.9%
SLI..... 18.2%
AIJ..... 13.9%

As for the DFW-GDL-DFW route, my estimates show a 70% market share for American and the 30% remaining for Volaris. The approximate load factors were 70.2% for the former and 80.9% for the latter.

Greg, are you planning to estimate and share the full-year load factors for the foreign carriers at DFW, as you did for the January-October period? It would be very interesting!

Thanks,

Mayer
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Re: DFW Foreign Carrier Estimated December 2016 Loads

Postby Greg on Fri Feb 10, 2017 5:25 am

Thanks Mayer for the DFW-MEX info... interesting for sure!

As for the annual loads, right now I can do an 'average' of the average... I'll see how much time it takes, and how much time I have, to add up all the totals and try and get a full year estimate. Hopefully I can get it sorted out!
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